A lot of decisions are being made on the basis of some bad numbers.
Ross (1996)
Spreadsheets are dangerous to their authors and others.
Durusau & Hunting (2015)
1% of all formulas in operational spreadsheets are in error.
Powell, Baker, & Lawson (2009)
Spreadsheets... pose a greater threat to your business than almost anything you can imagine.
Howard (2005)
60% of large companies feel 'Spreadsheet Hell' describes their reliance on spreadsheets.
Murphy (2007)
Spreadsheet errors have resulted in huge financial losses.
Abraham & Erwig (2007)
Spreadsheet shortcomings can significantly hamper an organization's business operation.
Reschenhofer & Matthes (2015)
Spreadsheet development must embrace extensive testing in order to be taken seriously as a profession.
Bock (2016)
Spreadsheets are often hard, if not impossible, to understand.
Mireault & Gresham (2015)
...few incidents of spreadsheet errors are made public and these are usually not revealed by choice.
Kruck & Sheetz (2001)
Spreadsheets are the most popular live programming environments, but they are also notoriously fault-prone.
Hermans & van der Storm (2015)
Untested spreadsheets are riddled with errors.
Miller (2005)
Most executives do not really check or verify the accuracy or validity of [their] spreadsheets...
Teo & Tan (1999)
Spreadsheets can be viewed as a highly flexible programming environment for end users.
Abreu, et al (2015)
Despite overwhelming and unanimous evidence... companies have continued to ignore spreadsheet error risks.
Panko (2014)
Every study that has looked for errors has found them... in considerable abundance.
Panko & Halverson (1996)
Errors in spreadsheets... result in incorrect decisions being made and significant losses incurred.
Beaman, et al (2005)
Spreadsheets have a notoriously high number of faults.
Rust, et al (2006)
Spreadsheets are notoriously error-prone.
Cunha, et al (2011)
Errors in spreadsheets are as ubiquitous as spreadsheets themselves.
Colbenz (2005)
Spreadsheet errors are pervasive, stubborn, ubiquitous and complex.
Irons (2003)
Spreadsheets are alarmingly error-prone to write.
Paine (2001)
The results given by spreadsheets are often just wrong.
Sajaniemi (1998)
Despite being staggeringly error prone, spreadsheets are a highly flexible programming environment.
Abreu, et al (2015)
Studies have shown that there is a high incidence of errors in spreadsheets.
Csernoch & Biro (2013)
Spreadsheets are easy to use and very hard to check.
Chen & Chan (2000)
Spreadsheets are commonly used and commonly flawed.
Caulkins, Morrison, & Weidemann (2008)
It is now widely accepted that errors in spreadsheets are both common and potentially dangerous.
Nixon & O'Hara (2010)
Spreadsheets are more fault-prone than other software.
Kulesz & Ostberg (2013)
Spreadsheets contain errors at an alarmingly high rate.
Abraham, et al (2005)
The untested spreadsheet is as dangerous and untrustworthy as an untested program.
Price (2006)
94% of the 88 spreadsheets audited in 7 studies have contained errors.
Panko (2008)
The quality and reliability of spreadsheets is known to be poor.
Bishop & McDaid (2007)
The issue is not whether there is an error but how many errors there are and how serious they are.
Panko (2007)
Every study, without exception, has found error rates much higher than organizations would wish to tolerate.
Panko (1999)
It is irrational to expect large error-free spreadsheets.
Panko (2013)
Research on spreadsheet errors is substantial, compelling, and unanimous.
Panko (2015)
The software that end users are creating... is riddled with errors.
Burnett & Myers (2014)
Most large spreadsheets have dozens or even hundreds of errors.
Panko & Ordway (2005)
Spreadsheets are extraordinarily and unacceptably prone to error.
Dunn (2010)
Even obvious, elementary errors in very simple, clearly documented spreadsheets are... difficult to find.
Galletta, et al (1993)
Overconfidence is one of the most substantial causes of spreadsheet errors.
Sakal, et al (2015)
Spreadsheet errors... a great, often unrecognised, risk to corporate decision making & financial integrity.
Chadwick (2002)
Spreadsheet errors are still the rule rather than the exception.
Nixon & O'Hara (2010)
Programmers exhibit unwarranted confidence in the correctness of their spreadsheets.
Krishna, et al (2001)
Your spreadsheets may be disasters in the making.
Caulkins, Morrison, & Weidemann (2006)
A significant proportion of spreadsheets have severe quality problems.
Ayalew (2007)
Never assume a spreadsheet is right, even your own.
Raffensperger (2001)
People tend to believe their spreadsheets are more accurate than they really are.
Caulkins, Morrison, & Weidemann (2006)
Developing an error-free spreadsheet has been a problem since the beginning of end-user computing.
Mireault (2015)

Spreadsheet bibliography

Title What we know about spreadsheet errors
Authors Raymond R. Panko
Year 1998
Type Article
Publication Journal of End User Computing
Series Volume 10, Number 2, Spring, pages 15-21
Abstract

Although some spreadsheets are small "scratch pad" applications, many are large and complex, and many mission-critical decisions depend on spreadsheet analyses.

In recent years, we have learned a good deal about the errors that people make when they develop spreadsheets. In general, errors seem to occur in a few percent of all cells, meaning that for large spreadsheets, the issue is how many errors there are, not whether an error exists.

These error rates, although troubling, are in line with error rates in programming and other human cognitive domains. In programming, we have learned to follow strict development disciplines to eliminate most errors. Surveys of spreadsheet developers indicate that spreadsheet creation, in contrast, is informal, and that few organizations have comprehensive policies for spreadsheet development.

Although prescriptive articles have focused on such disciplines as modularization and having assumptions sections, these may be far less important than post-development testing.

Full version Available
Also see Revised version (2008)
Sample
Probability of spreadsheet error
Probability of spreadsheet error

This equation calculates the probability that a spreadsheet contains at least one error cell (E), given n cells and probability e that each cell contains an error.

Even for a small cell error rate and a modest number of cells, a spreadsheet is highly likely to contain errors.

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